Archive for June, 2020

Booker opens lead against McGrath

We’re still about 5 or 6 days from having the full results for this Kentucky Senate Primary race, but it looks like things are a lot closer than anyone had expected.

Despite being hailed as an early favorite of the Democratic party, Amy McGrath has consistently struggled with the very voters that the focus groups say she’s supposed to bring in.

Polling consistently showed McGrath with a significant lead in Kentucky’s Senate Primary race, but the trend reversed suddenly as protests and riots rocked the nation. Quite contrary to the expected backlash that moderates feared, this outbreak of protests has seemingly pushed the electorate toward the left. Self-identified centrists suddenly saw the winds shifting to the left, and they’ve come along for the ride.

Will Booker prevail? Again, it is too early to know for certain. He appears to be absolutely dominating among in-person voters in Lexington and Louisville, but there was also a huge surge of mail and absentee voting that has yet to be counted. Since Booker’s surge has been so recent, it’s quite possible that many of these mailed in votes were submitted before the protests shifted public opinion.

Regardless of who wins in the primary, there will still be an uphill battle to unseat McConnell. The moods and winds have shifted though, so this challenge no longer seems impossible.

The week of national police riots

https://twitter.com/carterforva/status/1267499341985591298

While such an event is new for most Americans (especially white ones) it is not a unique concept as it has occurred many times in states and nations that are considered corrupt, less developed, or failed.

Please be warned: The following images and videos are extremely graphic and disturbing. Links are provided here for informational purposes. It is important for Americans to understand what is going on in this country so that we have any hope of fixing it.

https://twitter.com/joshfoxfilm/status/1268366550475603969
https://twitter.com/JoshuaPotash/status/1268717090934083585

Florida Surrenders to Covid-19

Today, June 6th, marked the 4th consecutive day of 1,000 or more positive coronavirus diagnoses in Florida. We’re about two weeks from Memorial Day, and that’s the turnaround time we should expect from the time of infection to the positive diagnosis. 

While we did manage to “bend the curve” we never did stamp the virus out. All of the efforts we put in from March to June merely stabilized the rate of spread. Without those actions, the number of new cases per day would continue to grow until approximately 60 to 70% of the population has been infected. 

So why are we declaring victory? The risk today is just as real as it was in March when we tried to bend that curve flatter. 

Frankly, the economy (and maybe the fragile American psyche) just can’t handle that much effort for someone else’s benefit. This impatience and self-centered attitude has been multiplied by incompetent leadership that has not been able to leverage our efforts at a higher level with things like:

  • Case tracing
  • Central quarantine
  • Guidance on masks and behavioral modifications

Individuals have been left on there own, largely, with a few extra bucks to offset whatever challenges they face. There is little to no coordinated effort except the effort to restart the economy – and that’s mostly been at the expense of low income workers and people of color who cannot telecommute to their office jobs.

Maybe it’s no wonder that people are mostly going to protest now that they’re finally going back out.